By: Prof. Michel Chossudovsky
The Obama administration, in liaison with London, Paris, Tel Aviv and NATO
headquarters in Brussels, is mulling over various military "intervention
options" directed against Syria, including the conduct of both naval and
air operations in support of "opposition" rebel forces on the ground.
The US and its impervious British ally are on a "humanitarian war
footing".
Allied forces including intelligence operatives and special forces have
reinforced their presence on the ground in support of the opposition's
"Free Syrian Army" (FSA). The British Ministry of Defense is
reported to be "drawing up contingency plans in case the UK decides to
deploy troops to the volatile region".
Naval and air force deployments have already been announced by the British
Ministry of Defense. According to London's news tabloids, quoting
"authoritative" military sources; "...The escalating civil war
[in Syria] made it increasingly likely that the West would be forced to step
in. " ( Daily Mail, July 24, 2012)
An Iraq-style "shock and awe" bombing campaign is, for practical
reasons, not being contemplated: "defence analysts warned that a force of
at least 300,000 troops would be needed to carry out a full-scale intervention
[in Syria]. Even then, this would face fierce resistance. ..." (Ibid)
Rather than carrying out an all out Blitzkrieg, the US-NATO-Israel military
alliance has chosen to intervene under the diabolical R2P frame of
"humanitarian warfare". Modelled on Libya, the follow broad stages
are envisaged:
A US-NATO backed insurgency integrated by death squads is launched under the
disguise of a "protest movement" (mid-March 2011 in Daraa)
British, French, Qatari and Turkish Special Forces are on the ground in
Syria, advising and training the rebels as well as overseeing special
operations. Mercenaries hired by private security companies are also involved
in supporting rebels forces
The killings of innocent civilians by the Free Syrian Army (FSA) are
deliberately carried out as part of a covert intelligence operation. (See
SYRIA:
Killing Innocent Civilians as part of a US Covert Op. Mobilizing Public Support
for a R2P War against Syria, global Rsearch, May 2012)
The Syrian government is then blamed for the resulting atrocities. Media
disinformation is geared towards demonizing the Syrian government. Public
opinion is led into endorsing a military intervention on humanitarian grounds.
Responding to public outrage, US-NATO is then "forced to step in"
under a Humanitarian "Responsibility to Protect" (R2P) mandate. Media
propaganda goes into high gear. "The International Community" comes
to the rescue of the Syrian people."
Warships and fighter jets are then deployed to the Eastern Mediterranean.
These actions are coordinated with logistical support to the rebels and Special
forces on the ground.
The final objective is "regime change" leading to the
"break-up of the country" along sectarian lines and/or the
installation of an "Islamist-dominated or influenced regime" modelled
on Qatar and Saudi Arabia.
War plans in relation to Syria are integrated with those pertaining to Iran.
The road to Tehran goes through Damascus. The broader implications of US-NATO
intervention are military escalation and the possible unleashing of a regional
war extending from the Eastern Mediterranean to Central Asia, in which China
and Russia could be directly or indirectly involved.
Stages 1 through 4 have already been implemented.
Stage 5 has been announced.
Stage 6 involving the deployment of British and French warships to the
Eastern Mediterranean is slated to be launched, according to the British
Ministry of Defense, in "later Summer". (
See
Michel Chossudovsky, The
US-NATO War on Syria: Western Naval Forces Confront Russia Off the Syrian
Coastline? Global Research, July 26, 2012.
Phase 7, namely "regime change" --which constitutes the end game
of humanitarian warfare-- has been announced on numerous occasions by
Washington. In the words of Defense Secretary Leon Panetta, referring to
President Bashar Al Assad: "It's no longer a question of whether he's
coming to an end, it's when."
The End Game: Destabilizing the Secular State, Installing "Political
Islam"
The
Royal United Services Institute for
Defence and Security (RUSI), a London based think-tank, with close
links to both Britain's Ministry of Defense and the Pentagon. has intimated
that
"some sort of western [military] intervention in Syria is
looking increasingly likely... " What RUSI has in mind in its Syria Crisis
Briefing entitled
A
Collision Course for Intervention, is what might be described as
"A Soft Invasion" leading either to a "break-up of the
country" along sectarian lines and/or the installation of an
"Islamist-dominated or influenced regime" modelled on Qatar and Saudi
Arabia.
Several "scenarios" involving "clandestine" intelligence
operations are put forth. The unspoken objective of these military and
intelligence options is to destabilize the secular State and implement, through
military means, the transition towards a post Assad "Islamist-dominated or
influenced regime" modelled on Qatar and Saudi Arabia:
"A better insight is needed on the activities and relationships of
Al-Qa’ida and other Syrian and international Salafist jihadists that are now
entering the country in increasing numbers.
The floodgates are likely to
open even further as international jihadists are emboldened by signs of
significant opposition progress against the regime. Such elements have the
support of Saudi Arabia and Qatar and would undoubtedly have a role in Syria
following the collapse of Assad. The scope of their involvement would need
to be factored into intervention planning. (Ibid, p. 9, emphasis added)
While recognizing that the rebel fighters are outright terrorists involved
in the killing of civilians, the RUSI Briefing, invoking tactical and
intelligence considerations, suggests that allied forces should `nonetheless
support the terrorists. (i.e. the terrorist brigades have been supported by the
US led coalition from the very outset of the insurgency in mid-March 2011.
Special Forces have integrated the insurgency):
"What military, political and security challenges would they [the
jihadists] then present in the country, to the region and to the West?
Issues
include the possibility of an Islamist-dominated or influenced regime
inheriting sophisticated weaponry, including anti-aircraft and anti-ship
missile systems and chemical and biological weapons that could be transferred
into the hands of international terrorists.
At the tactical level,
intelligence would be needed to identify the most effective groups, and how
best to support them. It would also be essential to know how they operate, and
whether support might assist them to massacre rivals or carry out
indiscriminate attacks against civilians, something we have already witnessed
among Syrian opposition groups." (
RUSI - SYRIA
CRISIS BRIEFING: A Collision Course for Intervention, London July 2012,
emphasis added, p. 9 )
The foregoing acknowledgment confirms the US-NATO's resolve to use
"Political Islam" --including the deployment of CIA-MI6 supported Al
Qaeda-affiliated terrorist groups -- to pursue their hegemonic ambitions in
Syria.
Covert operations by Western intelligence in support of
"opposition" terrorist entities are launched to weaken the secular
state, foment sectarian violence and create social divisions. We will recall
that in Libya, the "pro-democracy" rebels were led by Al Qaeda
affiliated paramilitary brigades under the supervision of NATO Special Forces.
The much-vaunted "Liberation" of Tripoli was carried out by former
members of the Libya Islamic Fighting Group (LIFG).
Military Options and Actions. Towards a "Soft Invasion"?
Several concrete military options --which largely reflect ongoing
Pentagon-NATO thinking on the matter-- are contemplated in the RUSI Syria
Crisis Briefing. All these options are based on a scenario of "regime
change" requiring the intervention of allied forces in Syrian territory.
What is contemplated is a "Soft Invasion" modelled on Libya under an
R2P humanitarian mandate rather than an all out "shock and awe"
Blitzkrieg.
The RUSI Briefing, however, confirms that continued and effective support to
the Free Syrian Army (FSA) rebels will eventually require the use of
"air
power in the form of fighter jets and sea, land and air launched missile
systems" combined with the influx of Special Forces and the landing of
"elite airborne and amphibious infantry" (Ibid, p 16.)
This transition towards concrete naval and air power support to the rebels
is no doubt also motivated by the setbacks of the insurgency (including
substantial rebel losses) following the backlash by government forces in the
wake of the July 18 terror attack against the National Security headquarters in
Damascus, which led to the death of the Minister of Defense General Daoud Rajha
and two other senior members of the country's national defense team.
Various overlapping military actions are envisaged, to be carried out
sequentially both prior and in the wake of the proposed "regime
change":
"The top-of-the-range option, destruction of the Syrian armed forces
through an Iraq-style ‘shock and awe’ invasion, could undoubtedly be achieved
by a US-led coalition. As with all other forms of intervention, however,
handling the aftermath would be far less predictable, and could draw coalition
forces into a long-running and bloody quagmire. At present that option can be
excluded as a realistic possibility. ... There is no doubt that the substantial
neutralisation of Syria’s air defence infrastructure could be achieved by a
US-led air operation. But it would require a major, sustained and extremely
costly campaign including Special Forces deployed on the ground to assist
targeting. ...
The remaining intervention options fall broadly into three sometimes
overlapping categories. ...
The first category is military enforcement
action to reduce or end the violence in Syria, ... to prevent Assad’s
forces from attacking the civilian population by direct [military] action.
[RUSI ignores the fact that the killings are committed by the FSA rather than
by government forces, M.C.].
The second is seeking to bring about regime change by a combination of
support for opposition forces and direct military action. The second
category might apply in the aftermath of regime collapse.
The objective would
be to support a post-Assad government by helping to stabilise the country and
protect the population against inter-factional violence and retribution. ... A
stabilisation force would be deployed at the request of the new government. In
any intervention scenario there might be a need to either destroy or secure
Syria’s chemical weapons, if they were about to be used, transferred or
otherwise made insecure. This would require such specialised and potentially
substantial combat forces, it is likely to be a mission that only the US could
execute. [Reminiscent of Iraq's WMD, the pretext of Syria's chemical weapons is
being used to justify a more muscled military intervention, M.C.]
The third category is humanitarian relief – bringing in supplies and medical
aid to besieged populations. .... This form of intervention, which would most
likely be conducted under the auspices of the UN, would require aid agencies
such as the International Red Crescent as well
as armed military forces
including air power, again perhaps based on a NATO coalition. Humanitarian
relief might be needed before or after a change of regime. (See
RUSI - SYRIA
CRISIS BRIEFING: A Collision Course for Intervention, London July 2012,
emphasis added, p.9-10 )
"Humanitarian relief" is often used as a pretext to send in combat
units. Special forces and intelligence ops are frequently dispatched in under
an NGO cover.
Concrete US-NATO Military Actions
Does the RUSI Briefing reflect the current outlook of US-NATO military
planning in relation to Syria?
What concrete military and intelligence actions have been taken by the
Western military alliance in the wake of the Chinese and Russian vetoes in the
United Nations Security Council?
The deployment of a powerful naval armada of French and British warships is
already envisaged for deployment at an unstipulated date "later in the
Summer". (See Michel Chossudovsky,
The
US-NATO War on Syria: Western Naval Forces Confront Russia Off the Syrian
Coastline?, Global Research, July 26, 2012)
The British Ministry of Defense, however, has intimated that Royal Navy
deployments to the Middle East could only only be activated 'after" the
London Olympic games. Two of Britain's largest warships, the HMS Bullwark and
the HMS Illustrious have been assigned, at tremendous cost to British tax
payers, to "ensuring the security" of the London Olympics. HMS Bulwark
is stationed in Weymouth Bay for the duration of the games. HMS Illustrious is
"currently sitting on the Thames in central London". (Ibid)
These planned naval operations are carefully coordinated with stepped up
allied support to the "Free Syrian Army", integrated by foreign
jihadist mercenaries trained in Qatar, Iraq, Turkey and Saudi Arabia on behalf
of the Western military alliance.
Will the US-NATO alliance launch an all out air operation?
Syria's air defense capabilities, according to reports, are based on Russia's
advanced S-300 system? (Unconfirmed reports point to the cancellation of
delivery by Russia, following pressure from Israel, of the advanced S-300
surface-to-air missile system to Syria) (See
Israel
convinces Russia to cancel Syrian S-300 missile deal: official, Xinhua, June
28, 2012) Reports also suggest the installation of an advanced Russian radar
system. (See
Report:
Russia Sent Syria Advanced S-300 Missiles, Israel National News, November
24, 2011).
The Role of Special Forces
In the months ahead, allied forces will no doubt focus on disabling the
country's military capabilities including its air defense, communications
systems, through a combination of covert operations, cyber-warfare and US-NATO
sponsored SFA terror attacks.
"The Free Syrian Army" rebels are NATO's foot soldiers. FSA
commanders, many of whom are part of Al Qaeda affiliated entities, are in
permanent liaison with British and French Special Forces inside Syria. The RUSI
report recommends that the rebels should be supported through the "
deployment
into the country of Special Forces advisers with air support on call:
"Advisers working alongside rebel commanders, perhaps
accompanied by small units of Special Forces troops, could be tactically and
strategically decisive, as it proved in both Afghanistan in 2001 and in Libya
in 2011. (RUSI, op cit, p. 10)
Special Forces have been on the ground in Syria since the outset of the
insurgency. Reports also confirm the role of private security companies
including former Blackwater mercenaries in the training of the FSA rebels. In
what is described as "America's War Under the Table", Special forces
on the ground are in permanent liaison with allied military and intelligence.
The Influx of Mercenary Jihadist Fighters
In the wame of the UN Security council deadlock, a speeding up in the
recruitment and training of mercenary jihadist fighters is unfolding.
According to a British Army source, British Special Forces (SAS) are now
training Syrian "rebels" in Iraq "in military tactics, weapons
handling and communications systems". The report also confirms that
advanced military command training is being conducted in Saudi Arabia on behalf
of the Western military alliance:
"British and French Special Forces
have been actively training members of the FSA, from a base in Turkey. Some
reports indicate that training is also taking place in locations in Libya and
Northern Lebanon. British MI6 operatives and UKSF (SAS/SBS) personnel have
reportedly been training the rebels in urban warfare as well as supplying them
with arms and equipment. US CIA operatives and special forces are believed to
be providing communications assistance to the rebels." Elite Forces UK, January 5, 2012
"More than 300 [Syrian rebels] have passed through a base just inside
the Iraq border, while a command course is run in Saudi Arabia.
Groups of 50 rebels at a time are being trained by two private security
firms employing former Special Forces personnel. “Our role is purely
instructional teaching tactics, techniques and procedures,” said a former SAS
member.
... “If we can teach them how to take cover, to shoot and avoid being
spotted by snipers it will hopefully help.” (
Daily Mail, July 22, 2012)
The Role of Turkey and Israel
Turkey's military high command has been in liaison with NATO headquarters since
August 2011 pertaining to the active recruitment of thousands of Islamist
"freedom fighters", reminiscent of the enlistment of Mujahideen to
wage the CIA's jihad (holy war) in the heyday of the Soviet-Afghan war:
"Also discussed in Brussels and Ankara, our sources report, is
a campaign to enlist thousands of Muslim volunteers in Middle East countries
and the Muslim world to fight alongside the Syrian rebels. The Turkish
army would house these volunteers, train them and secure their passage into
Syria. (
DEBKAfile, NATO to give rebels anti-tank weapons, August 14,
2011, emphasis added)
The recent influx of foreign fighters on a significant scale suggests that
this diabolical Mujahideen recruitment program developed more than a year ago,
has come to fruition.
Turkey is also supporting Muslim Brotherhood fighters in Northern Syria. As
part of of its support to SFA rebels, "Turkey has set up a secret base
with allies Saudi Arabia and Qatar to direct vital military and communications
aid to Syria’s rebels from a city near the border"
Exclusive:
Secret Turkish nerve center leads aid to Syria rebels | Reuters, July 27,
2012).
Israel's role in supporting the rebels, largely characterised by covert
intel ops, has been "discrete" but nonetheless significant. From the
very outset, Mossad has supported radical Salafist terrorist groups, which
became active in Southern Syria at the outset of the protest movement in Daraa
in mid-March. Reports suggest that financing for the Salafi insurgency is
coming from Saudi Arabia. (See
Syrian
army closes in on Damascus suburbs, The Irish Times, May 10, 2011).
While channelling covert support to the SFA, Israel is also supporting
Syrian Kurdish separatists in North Syria. The Kurdish (KNC) opposition group
has close links to the Kurdish Regional Government of Massoud Barzani in
northern Iraq, which is directly supported by Israel.
The Kurdish separatist agenda is slated to be used by Washington and Tel
Aviv to seek the break up of Syria along ethnic and religious lines-- into
several separate and "independent" political entities. It is worth
noting that Washington has also facilitated the dispatch of Kurdish Syrian
"opposition militants" to Kosovo in May to participate in training
sessions using the "terrorist expertise" of the Kosovo Liberation
Army (KLA). (See Michel Chossudovsky,
Hidden
US-Israeli Military Agenda: "Break Syria into Pieces", Global
Research, June 2012).
The not so hidden US-Israeli military agenda is to "Break Syria into Pieces",
with a view to supporting Israeli expansionism. (
The
Jerusalem Post (May 16, 2012).
Confrontation with Russia
What can we expect in the months ahead:
1) a naval deployment in the Eastern Mediterranean, the military objective
of which has not been clearly defined by allied forces.
2) a greater influx of foreign fighters and death squads into Syria and the
conduct of of carefully targeted terrorist attacks in coordination with
US-NATO.
3) an escalation in the deployment of allied special forces including
mercenaries from private security companies on contract to Western
intelligence.
The objective, under the “Damascus Volcano and Syrian Earthquake."
operation, ultimately consisted in extending the SFA terror attacks to Syria's
capital, under the supervision of Western Special Forces and intelligence
operatives on the ground. (See Thierry Meyssan,
The battle
of Damascus has begun, Voltaire Net, July 19, 2012). This option of
targeting Damascus has failed. The rebels have also been pushed back in heavy
fighting in Syria's second largest city Aleppo.
3) The weakening of Russia's role in Syria --including its functions under
the bilateral military cooperation agreement with Damascus-- is also part of
the US-NATO military-intelligence agenda. This could result in terrorist
attacks directed against Russian nationals living in Syria.
A terror attack against Russia's naval base in Tartus was announced less
than 2 weeks week following the Security Council face-off, no doubt order by
US-NATO, with a view to threatening Russia.
Following the arrival of Russia's naval flotilla of ten warships stationed off
the Syrian coast, an FSA spokesman confirmed (July 26) their intention to
attack Russia's naval base in Tartus:
"We have a warning for the Russian forces: if they will send any more
weapons that kill our families and the Syrian people we will hit them hard inside
Syria," said Louay al-Mokdad, a logistical coordinator for the Free Syrian
Army (FSA).
"Informers inside the regime are telling that us that there is a big
weapons' shipment arriving at Tartous in the next two weeks. We don't want to
attack the port, we are not terrorists, but if they keep acting like this we
will have no choice."
The FSA has formed a 'Naval brigade', made up of defectors from the Syrian
navy, which operates close to Tartous. "Many of our men used to work in
the port of Tartous and they know it well," said Captain Walid, a former
officer in the Syrian Navy. "We are watching very closely the movements of
the Russians."
"We can easily destroy the port. If we hit the weapons' stores with
anti-tank missiles or another weapon it would trigger a devastating
explosion," said an FSA representative. "Or we can attack the ships
directly." (
Syrian
rebels threaten to attack Russian naval base - World - DNA, July 26, 2012)
Were Russia's naval base to be attacked, this would, in all likelihood, be
undertaken under the supervision of allied special forces and intelligence
operatives.
While Russia has the required military capabilities to effectively defend
its Tartus naval base, an attack on Russia's naval base would constitute an act
of provocation, which could set the stage for a more visible involvement of
Russian forces inside Syria. Such a course could potentially also lead to a direct
confrontation between Russian forces and Western special forces and mercenaries
operating within rebel ranks.
According to the RUSI Syria Crisis Briefing quoted above: "Anticipating
Russian action and counter action would have to be a major factor in any
Western [military] intervention plan [in Syria]. The Russians are certainly
capable of bold and unexpected moves..." (RUSI, op cit, p. 5).
The World at a Dangerous Crossroads
An all out "humanitarian war" against Syria is on the drawing
board of the Pentagon, which, if carried out, could lead the World into a
regional war extending from the Eastern Mediterranean to the heartland of
Central Asia.
A sophisticated and all encompassing propaganda program supports war in the
name of World peace and global security.
The underlying scenario of Worldwide conflict goes far beyond the diabolical
design of Orwell's 1984.
The Ministry of Truth upholds war as a peace-making undertaking by twisting
realities upside down.
In turn, the lies and fabrications of the mainstream media are presented
with various innuendos in a complex web of deceit.
In a cynical twist, documented atrocities against Syrian civilians committed by
the West's "opposition" are now being acknowledged (rather than
blamed on government forces) as "unavoidable" in the painful
transition towards to "democracy".
The broader consequences of "the Big Lie" are obfuscated.
Global humanitarian warfare becomes a consensus which nobody can challenge.
The war on Syria is part of an integrated Worldwide military agenda. The road
to Tehran goes through Damascus. Iran, Russia, China and North Korea are also
being threatened.
With the deployment of the Franco-British naval armada later this Summer,
Western warships in the Eastern Mediterranean would be contiguous to those
deployed by Russia, which is conducting its own war games, leading to a
potential "Cold War style confrontation" between Russian and Western
naval forces. See Michel Chossudovsky,
The US-NATO
War on Syria: Western Naval Forces Confront Russia Off the Syrian Coastline?,
Global Research, July 26, 2012).
A war on Syria, which would inevitably involve Israel and Turkey, could
constitute the spark towards a regional war directed against Iran, in which
Russia and China could be (directly or indirectly) involved.
It is crucial to spread the word and break the channels of media
disinformation.
A critical and unbiased understanding of what is happening in Syria is of
crucial importance in reversing the tide of military escalation.
Spread the word. Forward this article far and wide.
It is essential that people in the UK, France and the US prevent
"the late Summer" naval WMD deployment to the Eastern Mediterraean
from occurring.
The British Ministry of Defense has announced that several British
warships are required "to ensure the security" of the Olympic Games.
HMS Bulwark is stationed in Weymouth Bay for the duration of the games. HMS
Illustrious is "currently sitting on the Thames in central London".
The deployment of British warships including HMS Bulwark and HMS Illustrious to
the Middle East is envisaged "after" the Olympic Games.
Prevent the warships from leaving port.